Let us fantasize – Ukraine in year 2015 …

Ukraine… September… Year 2015 …

Militias of Novorossia dislodged Galicia’s troops from outskirts of Odessa and they are hastily asked corridor in Kyiv republic to pass their units to Galicia.

Yes you’re right back in February 2015, Kiev stated that did not intend to shed blood in a military conflict with the brothers Slavs and unilaterally withdrew its parts with the territory of Novorosii and announced the establishment of the Republic of Kiev. The troops of the western areas, which announced the establishment of the Republic of Galicia, were not as friendly, and with varying success led spot fighting still about six months. But after Russia, in response to the proclamation in February 2015 the Kiev republic Novorossia recognized as an independent state and began supplying modern weapons in this new state, the troops of Galicia were constantly losing and retreating.

Kiev republic reluctantly agreed to give the corridor thinned battalions of the Republic of Galicia, there certainly affected the pressure from the West, which has threatened not to allow the next tranche of the IMF loan, but in principle, and Russia was not against the completion of this conflict.

And so, September 21, 2015 the three sides, with the assistance of Brussels, Moscow and Washington signed a peace treaty and formed three new states in the former “independent” Ukraine.

What will these be of a new formation of states and what place they will have in a modern world and particularly in Europe. First let’s deal with the territory, population and gross national product of these new entities.

Novorossia

Capital of the state is Donetsk, Dnipropetrovsk or Kharkiv, but most likely it Donetsk, although it is not so important. The territory of the new state will have 230,079 square km and consist of areas such as Donetsk, Dnepropetrovsk, Kharkov, Odessa, Lugansk, Zaporozhye, Nikolayev and Kherson. In 2012 these areas had a combined GDP of 608 billion. hryvnia or $ 50.7 billion. At the rate of 12 hryvnias per dollar on July 2014. The population of this state will be about 19 ​​million people and a GDP per capita is about $ 2676.

Novorossia is the largest, both in terms of population, of GDP and on the territory of the state on the ruins of Ukraine. But most likely survive this state less likely, since the integration processes with Russia in this area are very strong and very soon it will enter the Russian state on the right pane, thereby raising the population for the second time in a few years Russia and increased its territory. – You ask, why is the government not come to Russia on the Rights of the Republic? The answer is simple – Russian bored centrifugal processes, and it will not allow even the theoretical possibility of entering this territory in the future. After the integration of Russia will increase its population to 164 million. People that can not please our northern neighbors.

See also: In Donetsk, with songs and dances, bear and children was inaugurated ringleader of “DNR”

Kiev Republic

Kiev republic can leave their old name Ukraine, but I doubt it, since it does not want to associate themselves with the state, which led aggression against its southeast. Also because of the name dispute may be formed with the Galician republic, as it can lay claim to this title. Also, we all know how smart Kiev and  to drop the name Ukraine, it in one stroke can get rid of all debts to the world, that too will contribute to the selection of just the name for the newly formed Republic of Kiev state. Share good as foreign diplomatic embassies Kiev will only Galician republic, as unlikely before the end of the west recognizes Novorossia and give it nothing.

The capital of the republic of Kiev, as you all probably guessed, is Kiev. In Kiev will include such former republic of the field itself as Kiev, the city with special status Kyiv, Poltava, Vinnytsia, Cherkasy, Sumy, Zhytomyr, Chernigov and Kirovograd, which is not surprising, as these regions have always gravitated towards Kiev. The territory of the new state will have 215,250 square km. In 2012 these areas had a combined GDP of 576 billion. hryvnia or $ 48 billion. At the rate of 12 hryvnias per dollar on July 2014. The population of this state will be about 13.3 million people and of GDP per capita is about $ 3586.

This State, oddly enough has a chance to survive for many years, as it will become a buffer between Europe and Russia, in which all will be interested in principle. Kiev live the republic will, as usual, on three sources of income: plunder what’s left of Ukraine, fed from the gas pipe, and of course the most favorite “sit on two chairs” demanding permanent loan, then from Russia, from Europe. The benefit of this miracle would be four times less power hungry than before the village and our elder brothers can afford it, in general, all will be satisfied.

Galician Republic

Galician capital of the republic will be Lviv tell unexpectedly?!. In Galicia republic will include such former region of Ukraine, as actually Lviv, Ivano-Frankivsk, Khmelnytsky, Rivne, Transcarpathia, Volyn, Ternopil and Chernivtsi. The territory of the new state will have 131,266 square km. In 2012 these areas had a combined GDP of 215 billion. hryvnia or $ 17.9 billion. At the rate of 12 hryvnias per dollar on July 2014. The population of this state will be about 10.7 million people and of GDP per capita is about $ 1679.

This is the state where the example of their Baltic colleagues can create true nationalist, fascist, Ukrainian-State and legally able to plant the Russian-speaking citizens in correctional linguistically camp. But since there is a bit of – this pleasure to last long. In Europe this garbage just do not take them there in Lithuania, Latvia and Estonia have enough head. Will feed them a little bit, as have Russophobe country at hand always advantageous Europe and the US. For the gas they get shish, as these issues will manipulate the current Kiev, Europe is simply not survive two requisitions simultaneously.

It can survive not for long, as it is already rubbing their hands and neighbors whose hinted earlier were these territories. Romania, Hungary, Slovakia and the The Polish at the first opportunity will tear this neoplasm, nailed together and the whole consciousness of the local population. Although they are all exactly the inertia will blame the Muscovites.

That’s how fate can end our favorite independent Ukraine, and will be wrong are those who will say that this is impossible. Back in December 2013 said that the civil war in Ukraine can not be. And what it is not? So this scenario is no worse than what any other and has a chance to life.